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Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie BSun, 11 Oct 2026

Nautico Recife

Sun, 11 Oct 202621:30

0 : 2

Full time

Vila Nova

Pre-match win probability

33.3%Nautico Recife31.1%Draw35.6%Vila Nova

Our prediction

Vila Nova

Vila Nova is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.62
Confidence35.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nautico Recife 33.3%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Vila Nova 35.6%

Season statistics

Serie B · highlighted side is stronger

Nautico RecifeVila Nova

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X49.3%
X250.7%

Match result

Nautico Recife2.8
Draw3
Vila Nova2.62

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

Nautico Recife

Chance33.3%
Odds2.8

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds3

Vila Nova

Chance35.6%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Vila Nova at 2.62

Nautico RecifeVila Nova
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie B · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Nautico Recife meet Vila Nova in the Brazil, Serie B on 11 October 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vila Nova at 2.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova?

Vila Nova is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova prediction, H2H and stats