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Necaxa vs Atlas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 18 Jan 2026

Necaxa

15th in table · 18 pts

LWLWW

Sun, 18 Jan 202600:00

0 : 1

Full time

Atlas

6th in table · 26 pts

WDWLW

Pre-match win probability

52.6%Necaxa24.9%Draw22.5%Atlas

Our prediction

Away · Necaxa

Necaxa vs Atlas listed tip from the board.

Odds4.2
Confidence52.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Necaxa 52.6%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Atlas 22.5%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

NecaxaAtlas
Goals scored (avg)
–1.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–2.1
Wins
57
Played
1717

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Necaxa0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Atlas4W 3D 3L in last 10
    • 26 OctAtlas4 – 3PueblaW
    • 22 OctAtlas2 – 5Club AmericaL
    • 17 OctNecaxa0 – 2AtlasW
    • 11 OctAtlas1 – 1Guadalajara ChivasD
    • 26 SeptClub Tijuana2 – 3AtlasW
    H2H
    Head to headNecaxa 3W · 3D · Atlas 3W · 2.8 goals a game
    • 17 OctNecaxa0 – 2Atlas
    • 4 JulAtlas0 – 0Necaxa
    • 30 DecAtlas5 – 3Necaxa
    • 28 SeptAtlas3 – 2Necaxa
    • 19 FebAtlas0 – 4Necaxa
    • 23 DecAtlas1 – 2Necaxa

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
    1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
    2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
    3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7%
    No44.3%

    Double chance

    1X61%
    X239%

    Match result

    Necaxa1.8
    Draw3.8
    Atlas4.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7% · 1.67
    No44.3% · 2.1

    1X

    Chance61%
    Odds1.22

    X2

    Chance39%
    Odds1.91

    Necaxa

    Chance52.6%
    Odds1.8

    Draw

    Chance24.9%
    Odds3.8

    Atlas

    Chance22.5%
    Odds4.2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away at 4.2

    NecaxaAtlas
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack34%66%
    Defence53%47%
    Goals model34%66%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall70%30%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga MX

    Atlas scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga MX

    Atlas conceded 2.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga MX

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Liga MX

    Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 10.

    Necaxa vs Atlas: prediction & preview

    Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 18 Jan 2026

    Necaxa meet Atlas in the Mexico, Liga MX on 18 January 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Necaxa at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Necaxa vs Atlas FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Necaxa vs Atlas?

    Kickoff is 00:00 on 18 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Necaxa vs Atlas?

    Necaxa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.