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Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 18 Jan 2026

Tigres UANL

LWLWD

Sun, 18 Jan 202602:00

0 : 0

Full time

Toluca

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

43.1%Tigres UANL30.6%Draw26.3%Toluca

Our prediction

Away · Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL vs Toluca listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence43.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tigres UANL 43.1%
  • Draw 30.6%
  • Toluca 26.3%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Tigres UANLToluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Tigres UANL2.2
Draw3.1
Toluca3.6

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Tigres UANL

Chance43.1%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

Toluca

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.6

Tigres UANLToluca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Tigres UANL vs Toluca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 18 Jan 2026

Tigres UANL meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 18 January 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tigres UANL at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tigres UANL vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 18 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tigres UANL vs Toluca?

Tigres UANL is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca prediction, H2H and stats