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Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXThu, 23 Apr 2026

Necaxa

DLWWD

Thu, 23 Apr 202604:10

0 : 0

Full time

Guadalajara Chivas

WLDWW

Pre-match win probability

18%Necaxa21.8%Draw60.2%Guadalajara Chivas

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Necaxa

Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence60.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Necaxa 18%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Guadalajara Chivas 60.2%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X32.4%
X267.6%

Match result

Necaxa5.25
Draw4.33
Guadalajara Chivas1.57

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance32.4%
Odds2.38

X2

Chance67.6%
Odds1.14

Necaxa

Chance18%
Odds5.25

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.33

Guadalajara Chivas

Chance60.2%
Odds1.57

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.14

NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall23%77%

Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Thu, 23 Apr 2026

Necaxa meet Guadalajara Chivas in the Mexico, Liga MX on 23 April 2026 at 04:10 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guadalajara Chivas at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Kickoff is 04:10 on 23 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Guadalajara Chivas is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction, H2H and stats