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Newcastle vs Benfica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueTue, 21 Oct 2025

Newcastle

Tue, 21 Oct 202520:00

3 : 0

Full time

Benfica

Pre-match win probability

60.4%Newcastle21.9%Draw17.7%Benfica

Our prediction

Newcastle

Newcastle is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.63
Confidence60.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 60.4%
  • Draw 21.9%
  • Benfica 17.7%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleBenfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%2.5% · 12.5
1.5 goals25.6% · 1.27.6% · 4.05
2.5 goals17.3% · 1.7713.8% · 2.22
3.5 goals11.5% · 2.6721.8% · 1.41

Both teams to score

Yes53.5%
No46.5%

Double chance

1X67.2%
X232.8%

Match result

Newcastle1.63
Draw4.49
Benfica5.56

Both teams to score

Yes53.5% · 1.74
No46.5% · 2

1X

Chance67.2%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance32.8%
Odds2.42

Newcastle

Chance60.4%
Odds1.63

Draw

Chance21.9%
Odds4.49

Benfica

Chance17.7%
Odds5.56

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Newcastle at 1.63

NewcastleBenfica
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall77%23%

Newcastle vs Benfica: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 21 Oct 2025

Newcastle meet Benfica in the World, UEFA Champions League on 21 October 2025 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle at 1.63. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.77, about 55.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.74.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle vs Benfica?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 21 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle vs Benfica?

Newcastle is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.63. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.77 and under 2.5 is 2.22.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.74. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle vs Benfica prediction, H2H and stats