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Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueWed, 4 Mar 2026

Newcastle

LWLWW

Wed, 4 Mar 202621:15

2 : 1

Full time

Manchester United

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

36.7%Newcastle25.8%Draw37.5%Manchester United

Our prediction

Away · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Manchester United listed tip from the board.

Odds2.55
Confidence37.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 36.7%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Manchester United 37.5%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleManchester United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X49%
X251%

Match result

Newcastle2.6
Draw3.7
Manchester United2.55

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance49%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51%
Odds1.44

Newcastle

Chance36.7%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Manchester United

Chance37.5%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.55

NewcastleManchester United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Newcastle vs Manchester United: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

Newcastle meet Manchester United in the England, Premier League on 4 March 2026 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester United at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Manchester United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle vs Manchester United?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle vs Manchester United?

Manchester United is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle vs Manchester United prediction, H2H and stats