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Newport County vs Rochdale Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League TwoSat, 15 Aug 2026

Newport County

Sat, 15 Aug 202612:30

3 : 0

Full time

Rochdale

Pre-match win probability

31.1%Newport County27.4%Draw41.5%Rochdale

Our prediction

Rochdale

Rochdale is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence41.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newport County 31.1%
  • Draw 27.4%
  • Rochdale 41.5%

Season statistics

League Two · highlighted side is stronger

Newport CountyRochdale

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X45.6%
X254.4%

Match result

Newport County3
Draw3.4
Rochdale2.25

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

Newport County

Chance31.1%
Odds3

Draw

Chance27.4%
Odds3.4

Rochdale

Chance41.5%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Rochdale at 2.25

Newport CountyRochdale
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall43%57%

Newport County vs Rochdale: prediction & preview

England · League Two · Sat, 15 Aug 2026

Newport County meet Rochdale in the England, League Two on 15 August 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rochdale at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newport County vs Rochdale FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newport County vs Rochdale?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 15 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newport County vs Rochdale?

Rochdale is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newport County vs Rochdale prediction, H2H and stats