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Nigeria vs Madagascar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationFri, 25 Sept 2026

Nigeria

Fri, 25 Sept 202617:00

2 : 1

Full time

Madagascar

Pre-match win probability

79.6%Nigeria15.1%Draw5.3%Madagascar

Our prediction

Nigeria

Nigeria is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.14
Confidence79.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nigeria 79.6%
  • Draw 15.1%
  • Madagascar 5.3%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · highlighted side is stronger

NigeriaMadagascar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.4% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes29%
No71%

Double chance

1X79.8%
X220.2%

Match result

Nigeria1.14
Draw6
Madagascar17

Both teams to score

Yes29% · 3.25
No71% · 1.33

1X

Chance79.8%
Odds1.01

X2

Chance20.2%
Odds4

Nigeria

Chance79.6%
Odds1.14

Draw

Chance15.1%
Odds6

Madagascar

Chance5.3%
Odds17

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Nigeria at 1.14

NigeriaMadagascar
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall94%6%

Nigeria vs Madagascar: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Fri, 25 Sept 2026

Nigeria meet Madagascar in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 25 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nigeria at 1.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 79.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.33.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nigeria vs Madagascar FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nigeria vs Madagascar?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 25 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nigeria vs Madagascar?

Nigeria is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 79.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 3.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nigeria vs Madagascar prediction, H2H and stats