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Nõmme United vs Vaprus Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Estonia · MeistriliigaFri, 23 Oct 2026

Nõmme United

7th in table · 37 pts

LLLWW

Fri, 23 Oct 202617:00

4 : 2

Full time

Vaprus

8th in table · 36 pts

LLDDL

Pre-match win probability

44.5%Nõmme United24.7%Draw30.7%Vaprus

Our prediction

Draw · Nõmme United

Nõmme United vs Vaprus listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence44.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nõmme United 44.5%
  • Draw 24.7%
  • Vaprus 30.7%

Season statistics

Meistriliiga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Nõmme UnitedVaprus
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.82.2
Wins
1210
Played
3433

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nõmme United4W 0D 5L in last 9
  • 27 OctTrans Narva0 – 1Nõmme UnitedW
  • 17 OctNõmme United3 – 0Kalju NommeW
  • 13 OctLaagri2 – 0Nõmme UnitedL
  • 10 OctTammeka4 – 0Nõmme UnitedL
  • 19 SeptNõmme United1 – 3PaideL
Vaprus2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 18 OctLaagri2 – 0VaprusL
  • 13 OctVaprus2 – 2Kalju NommeD
  • 10 OctVaprus2 – 2Trans NarvaD
  • 20 SeptFlora Tallinn3 – 2VaprusL
  • 16 SeptPaide2 – 0VaprusL
H2H
Head to headNõmme United 4W · 0D · Vaprus 5W · 4 goals a game
  • 5 SeptVaprus1 – 0Nõmme United
  • 2 SeptNõmme United3 – 2Vaprus
  • 2 MayVaprus2 – 3Nõmme United
  • 14 MarNõmme United7 – 1Vaprus
  • 12 FebVaprus7 – 0Nõmme United
  • 19 OctNõmme United0 – 2Vaprus

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.6% · 19
1.5 goals27.2% · 1.125.5% · 5.5
2.5 goals21.2% · 1.4411.6% · 2.62
3.5 goals14.5% · 2.118.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Nõmme United2
Draw3.6
Vaprus2.9

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Nõmme United

Chance44.5%
Odds2

Draw

Chance24.7%
Odds3.6

Vaprus

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.6

Nõmme UnitedVaprus
Recent form60%40%
Attack50%50%
Defence60%40%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · Meistriliiga

Nõmme United scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Meistriliiga

Nõmme United conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Meistriliiga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Meistriliiga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Nõmme United vs Vaprus: prediction & preview

Estonia · Meistriliiga · Fri, 23 Oct 2026

Nõmme United meet Vaprus in the Estonia, Meistriliiga on 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nõmme United at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nõmme United vs Vaprus FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nõmme United vs Vaprus?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 23 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nõmme United vs Vaprus?

Nõmme United is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.