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Northampton vs Port Vale Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League OneTue, 24 Feb 2026

Northampton

LLDWW

Tue, 24 Feb 202620:45

0 : 1

Full time

Port Vale

WWDLW

Pre-match win probability

41.5%Northampton28.3%Draw30.1%Port Vale

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Northampton

Northampton vs Port Vale listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence41.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Northampton 41.5%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Port Vale 30.1%

Season statistics

League One · highlighted side is stronger

NorthamptonPort Vale
Goals scored (avg)
–1.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.7

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Northampton0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Port Vale5W 2D 3L in last 10
    • 27 OctPort Vale5 – 0Manchester City U21W
    • 24 OctYork2 – 0Port ValeL
    • 20 OctGillingham1 – 1Port ValeD
    • 17 OctPort Vale1 – 0ChesterfieldW
    • 10 OctPort Vale1 – 0GrimsbyW
    H2H
    Head to headNorthampton 2W · 3D · Port Vale 4W · 1.3 goals a game
    • 4 OctPort Vale0 – 0Northampton
    • 1 AprNorthampton2 – 0Port Vale
    • 16 SeptPort Vale1 – 0Northampton
    • 12 FebPort Vale0 – 0Northampton
    • 7 AugNorthampton1 – 0Port Vale
    • 8 FebNorthampton0 – 1Port Vale

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
    1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
    2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
    3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes52%
    No48%

    Double chance

    1X53.6%
    X246.4%

    Match result

    Northampton2.25
    Draw3.3
    Port Vale3.1

    Both teams to score

    Yes52% · 1.8
    No48% · 1.95

    1X

    Chance53.6%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance46.4%
    Odds1.57

    Northampton

    Chance41.5%
    Odds2.25

    Draw

    Chance28.3%
    Odds3.3

    Port Vale

    Chance30.1%
    Odds3.1

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

    NorthamptonPort Vale
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack45%55%
    Defence30%70%
    Goals model45%55%
    Head-to-head39%61%
    Overall58%42%

    Trends

    Trend · League One

    Port Vale scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · League One

    Port Vale conceded 0.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · League One

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · League One

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

    Northampton vs Port Vale: prediction & preview

    England · League One · Tue, 24 Feb 2026

    Northampton meet Port Vale in the England, League One on 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Northampton at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Northampton vs Port Vale FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Northampton vs Port Vale?

    Kickoff is 20:45 on 24 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Northampton vs Port Vale?

    Northampton is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.