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Oliveirense vs Penafiel Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalSat, 19 Sept 2026

Oliveirense

Sat, 19 Sept 202617:00

1 : 2

Full time

Penafiel

Pre-match win probability

35.1%Oliveirense27.6%Draw37.3%Penafiel

Our prediction

Penafiel

Penafiel is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Oliveirense 35.1%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Penafiel 37.3%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

OliveirensePenafiel

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X44.3%
X255.7%

Match result

Oliveirense2.55
Draw3.25
Penafiel2.4

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

Oliveirense

Chance35.1%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.25

Penafiel

Chance37.3%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Penafiel at 2.4

OliveirensePenafiel
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

Oliveirense vs Penafiel: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Oliveirense meet Penafiel in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penafiel at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Oliveirense vs Penafiel FAQs

4 questions

What time is Oliveirense vs Penafiel?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Oliveirense vs Penafiel?

Penafiel is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Oliveirense vs Penafiel prediction, H2H and stats