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Oxford United vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 18 Oct 2025

Oxford United

Sat, 18 Oct 202512:30

1 : 0

Full time

Derby

Pre-match win probability

38.1%Oxford United31%Draw30.9%Derby

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Oxford United

Oxford United vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds1.52
Confidence38.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Oxford United 38.1%
  • Draw 31%
  • Derby 30.9%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Oxford UnitedDerby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.043.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.2% · 1.419% · 2.54
2.5 goals9.3% · 2.4515% · 1.53
3.5 goals5% · 4.620.2% · 1.13

Both teams to score

Yes46.5%
No53.5%

Double chance

1X52.8%
X247.2%

Match result

Oxford United2.46
Draw3.02
Derby3.03

Both teams to score

Yes46.5% · 1.99
No53.5% · 1.73

1X

Chance52.8%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.2%
Odds1.52

Oxford United

Chance38.1%
Odds2.46

Draw

Chance31%
Odds3.02

Derby

Chance30.9%
Odds3.03

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.52

Oxford UnitedDerby
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall55%45%

Oxford United vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 18 Oct 2025

Oxford United meet Derby in the England, Championship on 18 October 2025 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Oxford United at 2.46. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Oxford United vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is Oxford United vs Derby?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 18 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Oxford United vs Derby?

Oxford United is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.46. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.45 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.99. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Oxford United vs Derby prediction, H2H and stats