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Southampton vs Swansea Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 18 Oct 2025

Southampton

4th in table · 80 pts

LWWDW

Sat, 18 Oct 202512:30

0 : 0

Full time

Swansea

11th in table · 64 pts

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

49.9%Southampton26.9%Draw23.2%Swansea

Our prediction

Southampton

Southampton is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.88
Confidence49.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Southampton 49.9%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Swansea 23.2%

Season statistics

Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SouthamptonSwansea
Goals scored (avg)
21.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.2
Wins
2218
Played
4646

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Southampton6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 24 OctWest Ham2 – 3SouthamptonW
  • 17 OctSouthampton0 – 0BoltonD
  • 14 OctNorwich0 – 1SouthamptonW
  • 11 OctSouthampton1 – 0PortsmouthW
  • 19 SeptWrexham2 – 1SouthamptonL
Swansea6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctQPR5 – 0SwanseaL
  • 17 OctSwansea0 – 1West HamL
  • 13 OctMillwall0 – 1SwanseaW
  • 10 OctSwansea2 – 1NorwichW
  • 19 SeptLincoln1 – 2SwanseaW
H2H
Head to headSouthampton 8W · 1D · Swansea 0W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 8 SeptSouthampton3 – 1Swansea
  • 18 AprSwansea1 – 2Southampton
  • 12 JanSouthampton3 – 0Swansea
  • 20 JanSwansea1 – 3Southampton
  • 26 DecSouthampton5 – 0Swansea
  • 8 JanSwansea2 – 3Southampton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.012.7% · 8.4
1.5 goals18% · 1.277.2% · 3.18
2.5 goals11.8% · 1.9412.5% · 1.83
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.1217.9% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes51.8%
No48.2%

Double chance

1X60.6%
X239.4%

Match result

Southampton1.88
Draw3.48
Swansea4.04

Both teams to score

Yes51.8% · 1.79
No48.2% · 1.92

1X

Chance60.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39.4%
Odds1.88

Southampton

Chance49.9%
Odds1.88

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.48

Swansea

Chance23.2%
Odds4.04

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Southampton at 1.88

SouthamptonSwansea
Recent form53%47%
Attack59%41%
Defence54%46%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head94%6%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Southampton scored 2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Southampton conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Southampton vs Swansea: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 18 Oct 2025

Southampton meet Swansea in the England, Championship on 18 October 2025 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Southampton at 1.88. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.83, about 51.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.79.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Southampton vs Swansea FAQs

4 questions

What time is Southampton vs Swansea?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 18 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Southampton vs Swansea?

Southampton is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.88. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.94 and under 2.5 is 1.83.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.79. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.