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Pachuca vs Necaxa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXWed, 4 Mar 2026

Pachuca

4th in table · 31 pts

LDLLW

Wed, 4 Mar 202602:00

2 : 1

Full time

Necaxa

15th in table · 18 pts

LDLLD

Pre-match win probability

55%Pachuca25%Draw20%Necaxa

Our prediction

Home · Pachuca

Pachuca vs Necaxa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence55%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pachuca 55%
  • Draw 25%
  • Necaxa 20%

Season statistics

Liga MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PachucaNecaxa
Goals scored (avg)
1.61
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.32
Wins
95
Played
1717

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Pachuca3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 26 OctClub America1 – 2CF PachucaW
  • 22 OctCF Pachuca1 – 2Cruz AzulL
  • 19 OctMonterrey2 – 1CF PachucaL
  • 12 OctCF Pachuca3 – 3NecaxaD
  • 27 SeptSantos Laguna1 – 0CF PachucaL
Necaxa0W 4D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctNecaxa1 – 1FC JuarezD
  • 21 OctGuadalajara Chivas1 – 0NecaxaL
  • 17 OctNecaxa0 – 2AtlasL
  • 12 OctCF Pachuca3 – 3NecaxaD
  • 28 SeptNecaxa2 – 4Club AmericaL
H2H
Head to headPachuca 5W · 3D · Necaxa 1W · 3.9 goals a game
  • 12 OctCF Pachuca3 – 3Necaxa
  • 4 OctNecaxa0 – 1CF Pachuca
  • 12 AprNecaxa3 – 5CF Pachuca
  • 3 NovCF Pachuca6 – 2Necaxa
  • 6 MayCF Pachuca2 – 1Necaxa
  • 24 FebNecaxa1 – 1CF Pachuca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X62.9%
X237.1%

Match result

Pachuca1.73
Draw3.8
Necaxa4.75

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance62.9%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance37.1%
Odds2

Pachuca

Chance55%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Necaxa

Chance20%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.73

PachucaNecaxa
Recent form76%24%
Attack62%38%
Defence63%37%
Goals model62%38%
Head-to-head72%28%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Liga MX

Pachuca scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Pachuca conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Liga MX

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Pachuca vs Necaxa: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

Pachuca meet Necaxa in the Mexico, Liga MX on 4 March 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pachuca at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pachuca vs Necaxa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pachuca vs Necaxa?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pachuca vs Necaxa?

Pachuca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 55%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.