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U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXWed, 4 Mar 2026

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

DWWDW

Wed, 4 Mar 202604:10

2 : 3

Full time

Toluca

WWWDD

Pre-match win probability

25.2%U.N.A.M. - Pumas26.3%Draw48.5%Toluca

Our prediction

Away or Draw · U.N.A.M. - Pumas

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence48.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • U.N.A.M. - Pumas 25.2%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Toluca 48.5%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

U.N.A.M. - PumasToluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X39%
X261%

Match result

U.N.A.M. - Pumas3.75
Draw3.6
Toluca1.95

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance39%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance61%
Odds1.22

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Chance25.2%
Odds3.75

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Toluca

Chance48.5%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.22

U.N.A.M. - PumasToluca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall34%66%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

U.N.A.M. - Pumas meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 4 March 2026 at 04:10 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 04:10 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca prediction, H2H and stats