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Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSat, 18 Apr 2026

Pacos Ferreira

DDLLW

Sat, 18 Apr 202611:00

4 : 3

Full time

Chaves

WLLWW

Pre-match win probability

30.7%Pacos Ferreira29.7%Draw39.6%Chaves

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Pacos Ferreira

Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence39.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pacos Ferreira 30.7%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Chaves 39.6%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Pacos FerreiraChaves

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Pacos Ferreira2.9
Draw3
Chaves2.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

Pacos Ferreira

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3

Chaves

Chance39.6%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.36

Pacos FerreiraChaves
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

Pacos Ferreira meet Chaves in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 18 April 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chaves at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves?

Chaves is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves prediction, H2H and stats