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União de Leiria vs Penafiel Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSat, 18 Apr 2026

União de Leiria

DDWWL

Sat, 18 Apr 202614:00

4 : 2

Full time

Penafiel

WWLLD

Pre-match win probability

50.8%União de Leiria26.9%Draw22.2%Penafiel

Our prediction

Away or Draw · União de Leiria

União de Leiria vs Penafiel listed tip from the board.

Odds1.91
Confidence50.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • União de Leiria 50.8%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Penafiel 22.2%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

União de LeiriaPenafiel

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X61.4%
X238.6%

Match result

União de Leiria1.75
Draw3.3
Penafiel4

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance61.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance38.6%
Odds1.91

União de Leiria

Chance50.8%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.3

Penafiel

Chance22.2%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.91

União de LeiriaPenafiel
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

União de Leiria vs Penafiel: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

União de Leiria meet Penafiel in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 18 April 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is União de Leiria at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

União de Leiria vs Penafiel FAQs

4 questions

What time is União de Leiria vs Penafiel?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on União de Leiria vs Penafiel?

União de Leiria is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

União de Leiria vs Penafiel prediction, H2H and stats