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Penarol vs Wanderers Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera División - ClausuraSun, 19 Oct 2025

Penarol

1st in table · 35 pts

WDLDL

Sun, 19 Oct 202522:30

3 : 0

Full time

Wanderers

16th in table · 7 pts

WDLLL

Pre-match win probability

71.5%Penarol19.2%Draw9.4%Wanderers

Our prediction

Home · Penarol

Penarol vs Wanderers listed tip from the board.

Odds1.31
Confidence71.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penarol 71.5%
  • Draw 19.2%
  • Wanderers 9.4%

Season statistics

Primera División - Clausura · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PenarolWanderers
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.9
Wins
111
Played
1515

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Penarol4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 27 OctPenarol0 – 2Atletico TorqueL
  • 24 OctJuventud0 – 0PenarolD
  • 18 OctLiverpool Montevideo1 – 0PenarolL
  • 10 OctPenarol1 – 1ProgresoD
  • 4 OctRacing Montevideo0 – 1PenarolW
Wanderers2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctWanderers0 – 1ProgresoL
  • 17 OctRacing Montevideo3 – 0WanderersL
  • 10 OctWanderers1 – 3Boston RiverL
  • 7 OctCerrito2 – 2WanderersD
  • 4 OctCerro0 – 2WanderersW
H2H
Head to headPenarol 5W · 2D · Wanderers 2W · 1.9 goals a game
  • 6 AugPenarol5 – 1Wanderers
  • 26 AprWanderers1 – 0Penarol
  • 22 JunPenarol2 – 0Wanderers
  • 19 AprWanderers1 – 2Penarol
  • 14 NovWanderers0 – 2Penarol
  • 8 JunWanderers2 – 0Penarol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.012.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.226.5% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.7% · 1.8111.9% · 1.93
3.5 goals7.8% · 2.9217.5% · 1.31

Both teams to score

Yes41.3%
No58.7%

Double chance

1X75.9%
X224.1%

Match result

Penarol1.31
Draw4.88
Wanderers10

Both teams to score

Yes41.3% · 2.23
No58.7% · 1.57

1X

Chance75.9%
Odds1.02

X2

Chance24.1%
Odds3.22

Penarol

Chance71.5%
Odds1.31

Draw

Chance19.2%
Odds4.88

Wanderers

Chance9.4%
Odds10

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.31

PenarolWanderers
Recent form64%36%
Attack50%50%
Defence66%34%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall88%12%

Trends

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Penarol scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Penarol conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Penarol vs Wanderers: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División - Clausura · Sun, 19 Oct 2025

Penarol meet Wanderers in the Uruguay, Primera División - Clausura on 19 October 2025 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.31. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.81, about 51.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penarol vs Wanderers FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penarol vs Wanderers?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 19 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penarol vs Wanderers?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.31. The margin-adjusted share is about 71.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.81 and under 2.5 is 1.93.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.23. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.