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Progreso vs Defensor Sporting Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera División - ClausuraSun, 19 Oct 2025

Progreso

10th in table · 18 pts

WLDWW

Sun, 19 Oct 202519:30

2 : 3

Full time

Defensor Sporting

8th in table · 23 pts

LLLLD

Pre-match win probability

31.1%Progreso28.4%Draw40.5%Defensor Sporting

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Progreso

Progreso vs Defensor Sporting listed tip from the board.

Odds1.56
Confidence40.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Progreso 31.1%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Defensor Sporting 40.5%

Season statistics

Primera División - Clausura · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ProgresoDefensor Sporting
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.6
Wins
57
Played
1515

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Progreso5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctWanderers0 – 1ProgresoW
  • 17 OctProgreso2 – 0JuventudW
  • 10 OctPenarol1 – 1ProgresoD
  • 3 OctLiverpool Montevideo3 – 2ProgresoL
  • 26 SeptProgreso2 – 1Racing MontevideoW
Defensor Sporting2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctDefensor Sporting3 – 3Racing MontevideoD
  • 17 OctBoston River1 – 0Defensor SportingL
  • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3CerroL
  • 3 OctAlbion FC3 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 30 SeptDefensor Sporting0 – 1Plaza ColoniaL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.012.5% · 9
1.5 goals17.6% · 1.37.7% · 2.97
2.5 goals11% · 2.0813.4% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.719% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes50.9%
No49.1%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Progreso3
Draw3.29
Defensor Sporting2.31

Both teams to score

Yes50.9% · 1.81
No49.1% · 1.88

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.56

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.35

Progreso

Chance31.1%
Odds3

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.29

Defensor Sporting

Chance40.5%
Odds2.31

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.56

ProgresoDefensor Sporting
Recent form64%36%
Attack50%50%
Defence56%44%
Goals model50%50%
Overall43%57%

Trends

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Progreso scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Progreso conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División - Clausura · Sun, 19 Oct 2025

Progreso meet Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay, Primera División - Clausura on 19 October 2025 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Defensor Sporting at 2.31. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.81.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Progreso vs Defensor Sporting FAQs

4 questions

What time is Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 19 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?

Defensor Sporting is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.31. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.81. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Progreso vs Defensor Sporting prediction, H2H and stats