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Ponferradina vs Real Avilés Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Ponferradina

WDWLD

Sun, 11 Oct 202615:30

0 : 2

Full time

Real Avilés

LDDWL

Pre-match win probability

50.9%Ponferradina27.9%Draw21.2%Real Avilés

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Ponferradina

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence50.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ponferradina 50.9%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Real Avilés 21.2%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

PonferradinaReal Avilés

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X62%
X238%

Match result

Ponferradina1.75
Draw3.2
Real Avilés4.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance62%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance38%
Odds1.91

Ponferradina

Chance50.9%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.2

Real Avilés

Chance21.2%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

PonferradinaReal Avilés
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Ponferradina meet Real Avilés in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 11 October 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ponferradina at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ponferradina vs Real Avilés?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ponferradina vs Real Avilés?

Ponferradina is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés prediction, H2H and stats