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Pontevedra vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Pontevedra

LDDLW

Sun, 11 Oct 202615:30

1 : 2

Full time

Mérida AD

WLLLL

Pre-match win probability

41.4%Pontevedra30.7%Draw27.8%Mérida AD

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Pontevedra

Pontevedra vs Mérida AD listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence41.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pontevedra 41.4%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Mérida AD 27.8%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

PontevedraMérida AD

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.8% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Pontevedra2.15
Draw2.9
Mérida AD3.2

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.57

Pontevedra

Chance41.4%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

Mérida AD

Chance27.8%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

PontevedraMérida AD
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Pontevedra vs Mérida AD: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Pontevedra meet Mérida AD in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 11 October 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pontevedra at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pontevedra vs Mérida AD FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pontevedra vs Mérida AD?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pontevedra vs Mérida AD?

Pontevedra is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pontevedra vs Mérida AD prediction, H2H and stats