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Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie BSat, 11 Apr 2026

Ponte Preta

Sat, 11 Apr 202622:00

0 : 1

Full time

Vila Nova

Pre-match win probability

34.4%Ponte Preta32.8%Draw32.8%Vila Nova

Our prediction

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.75
Confidence34.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ponte Preta 34.4%
  • Draw 32.8%
  • Vila Nova 32.8%

Season statistics

Serie B · highlighted side is stronger

Ponte PretaVila Nova

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Ponte Preta2.75
Draw2.88
Vila Nova2.88

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.4

Ponte Preta

Chance34.4%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance32.8%
Odds2.88

Vila Nova

Chance32.8%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Ponte Preta at 2.75

Ponte PretaVila Nova
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie B · Sat, 11 Apr 2026

Ponte Preta meet Vila Nova in the Brazil, Serie B on 11 April 2026 at 22:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ponte Preta at 2.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 34.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova?

Kickoff is 22:00 on 11 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova?

Ponte Preta is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 34.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova prediction, H2H and stats