Get Premium

Portugal vs Norway Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSun, 4 Oct 2026

Portugal

WLWWW

Sun, 4 Oct 202619:45

2 : 1

Full time

Norway

LLWDW

Pre-match win probability

56.9%Portugal21.1%Draw22%Norway

Our prediction

Home · Portugal

Portugal vs Norway listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence56.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portugal 56.9%
  • Draw 21.1%
  • Norway 22%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PortugalNorway
Goals scored (avg)
1.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.8–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Portugal6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 1 OctDenmark2 – 4PortugalW
  • 27 SeptNorway1 – 2PortugalW
  • 24 SeptPortugal1 – 0WalesW
  • 6 JulPortugal0 – 1SpainL
  • 3 JulPortugal2 – 1CroatiaW
Norway0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headPortugal 1W · 0D · Norway 0W · 3 goals a game
    • 27 SeptNorway1 – 2Portugal

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
    1.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
    2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
    3.5 goals12.4% · 1.9113.1% · 1.8

    Both teams to score

    Yes64.5%
    No35.5%

    Double chance

    1X65.1%
    X234.9%

    Match result

    Portugal1.67
    Draw4.5
    Norway4.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes64.5% · 1.44
    No35.5% · 2.62

    1X

    Chance65.1%
    Odds1.18

    X2

    Chance34.9%
    Odds2.2

    Portugal

    Chance56.9%
    Odds1.67

    Draw

    Chance21.1%
    Odds4.5

    Norway

    Chance22%
    Odds4.33

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.67

    PortugalNorway
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack66%34%
    Defence69%31%
    Goals model66%34%
    Head-to-head100%0%
    Overall72%28%

    Trends

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Portugal scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Portugal conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Portugal vs Norway: prediction & preview

    World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

    Portugal meet Norway in the World, UEFA Nations League on 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portugal at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Portugal vs Norway FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Portugal vs Norway?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Portugal vs Norway?

    Portugal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.