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Progreso vs Cerro Largo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSun, 3 May 2026

Progreso

LWLLD

Sun, 3 May 202613:30

0 : 1

Full time

Cerro Largo

LLDDW

Pre-match win probability

35.4%Progreso30.1%Draw34.5%Cerro Largo

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Progreso

Progreso vs Cerro Largo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence35.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Progreso 35.4%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Cerro Largo 34.5%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

ProgresoCerro Largo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals10% · 2.3514.9% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X50.7%
X249.3%

Match result

Progreso2.55
Draw3
Cerro Largo2.62

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

Progreso

Chance35.4%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3

Cerro Largo

Chance34.5%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.44

ProgresoCerro Largo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Progreso vs Cerro Largo: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sun, 3 May 2026

Progreso meet Cerro Largo in the Uruguay, Primera División on 3 May 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Progreso at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Progreso vs Cerro Largo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Progreso vs Cerro Largo?

Kickoff is 13:30 on 3 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Progreso vs Cerro Largo?

Progreso is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Progreso vs Cerro Largo prediction, H2H and stats