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Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaMon, 11 May 2026

Rayo Vallecano

WWWDW

Mon, 11 May 202620:00

1 : 1

Full time

Girona

LLLDW

Pre-match win probability

38.8%Rayo Vallecano30.6%Draw30.6%Girona

Our prediction

Home · Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona listed tip from the board.

Odds2.45
Confidence38.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rayo Vallecano 38.8%
  • Draw 30.6%
  • Girona 30.6%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Rayo VallecanoGirona

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

Rayo Vallecano2.45
Draw3.1
Girona3.1

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

Rayo Vallecano

Chance38.8%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

Girona

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.45

Rayo VallecanoGirona
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Mon, 11 May 2026

Rayo Vallecano meet Girona in the Spain, La Liga on 11 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rayo Vallecano at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FAQs

4 questions

What time is Rayo Vallecano vs Girona?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Rayo Vallecano vs Girona?

Rayo Vallecano is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona prediction, H2H and stats