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Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 24 Jan 2026

Rayo Vallecano

8th in table · 50 pts

WDDLW

Sat, 24 Jan 202614:00

1 : 3

Full time

Osasuna

17th in table · 42 pts

LDLWL

Pre-match win probability

44.1%Rayo Vallecano29.6%Draw26.3%Osasuna

Our prediction

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rayo Vallecano 44.1%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Osasuna 26.3%

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Rayo VallecanoOsasuna
Goals scored (avg)
1.61
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.22
Wins
1211
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Rayo Vallecano3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 27 OctRecreativo Huelva2 – 3Rayo VallecanoW
  • 24 OctRayo Vallecano0 – 3ElcheL
  • 19 OctGetafe1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
  • 19 SeptOsasuna1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
  • 15 SeptRayo Vallecano2 – 1EspanyolW
Osasuna3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 26 OctSevilla2 – 0OsasunaL
  • 18 OctOsasuna2 – 0Racing SantanderW
  • 11 OctReal Betis5 – 2OsasunaL
  • 19 SeptOsasuna1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
  • 16 SeptAtletico Madrid4 – 0OsasunaL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Rayo Vallecano2.15
Draw3.2
Osasuna3.6

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Rayo Vallecano

Chance44.1%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Osasuna

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Rayo Vallecano at 2.15

Rayo VallecanoOsasuna
Recent form52%48%
Attack62%38%
Defence44%56%
Goals model62%38%
Overall63%37%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano conceded 2.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · La Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 24 Jan 2026

Rayo Vallecano meet Osasuna in the Spain, La Liga on 24 January 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rayo Vallecano at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna FAQs

4 questions

What time is Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 24 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna?

Rayo Vallecano is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.