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Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 24 Jan 2026

Villarreal

LLWWL

Sat, 24 Jan 202621:00

0 : 2

Full time

Real Madrid

WWLLW

Pre-match win probability

25.2%Villarreal24.5%Draw50.3%Real Madrid

Our prediction

Draw · Villarreal

Villarreal vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds3.9
Confidence50.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Villarreal 25.2%
  • Draw 24.5%
  • Real Madrid 50.3%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

VillarrealReal Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.2% · 1.124% · 6
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X39.6%
X260.4%

Match result

Villarreal3.8
Draw3.9
Real Madrid1.9

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance39.6%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance60.4%
Odds1.25

Villarreal

Chance25.2%
Odds3.8

Draw

Chance24.5%
Odds3.9

Real Madrid

Chance50.3%
Odds1.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.9

VillarrealReal Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall33%67%

Villarreal vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 24 Jan 2026

Villarreal meet Real Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 24 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Villarreal vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Villarreal vs Real Madrid?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 24 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Villarreal vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Villarreal vs Real Madrid prediction, H2H and stats