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RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 21 Feb 2026

RB Leipzig

DLWLD

Sat, 21 Feb 202618:30

2 : 2

Full time

Borussia Dortmund

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

46.4%RB Leipzig24.4%Draw29.3%Borussia Dortmund

Our prediction

Away · RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund listed tip from the board.

Odds3.25
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • RB Leipzig 46.4%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Borussia Dortmund 29.3%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

RB LeipzigBorussia Dortmund

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.2% · 1.124% · 6
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X56.5%
X243.5%

Match result

RB Leipzig2.05
Draw3.9
Borussia Dortmund3.25

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance56.5%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance43.5%
Odds1.73

RB Leipzig

Chance46.4%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.9

Borussia Dortmund

Chance29.3%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.25

RB LeipzigBorussia Dortmund
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

RB Leipzig meet Borussia Dortmund in the Germany, Bundesliga on 21 February 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is RB Leipzig at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund FAQs

4 questions

What time is RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?

RB Leipzig is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction, H2H and stats