Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 21 Feb 2026

Union Berlin

Sat, 21 Feb 202615:30

1 : 0

Full time

Bayer Leverkusen

Pre-match win probability

31.5%Union Berlin28.7%Draw39.8%Bayer Leverkusen

Our prediction

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.38
Confidence39.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Union Berlin 31.5%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Bayer Leverkusen 39.8%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

Union BerlinBayer Leverkusen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Union Berlin3
Draw3.3
Bayer Leverkusen2.38

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

Union Berlin

Chance31.5%
Odds3

Draw

Chance28.7%
Odds3.3

Bayer Leverkusen

Chance39.8%
Odds2.38

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Bayer Leverkusen at 2.38

Union BerlinBayer Leverkusen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Union Berlin meet Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany, Bundesliga on 21 February 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayer Leverkusen at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen FAQs

4 questions

What time is Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction, H2H and stats