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Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 14 Feb 2026

Real Madrid

WWLWW

Sat, 14 Feb 202621:00

4 : 1

Full time

Real Sociedad

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

69.4%Real Madrid18%Draw12.6%Real Sociedad

Our prediction

Draw · Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad listed tip from the board.

Odds5.25
Confidence69.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 69.4%
  • Draw 18%
  • Real Sociedad 12.6%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridReal Sociedad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.021.3% · 19
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X73.2%
X226.8%

Match result

Real Madrid1.36
Draw5.25
Real Sociedad7.5

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance73.2%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance26.8%
Odds3

Real Madrid

Chance69.4%
Odds1.36

Draw

Chance18%
Odds5.25

Real Sociedad

Chance12.6%
Odds7.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 5.25

Real MadridReal Sociedad
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall85%15%

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Real Madrid meet Real Sociedad in the Spain, La Liga on 14 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 69.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 69.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction, H2H and stats