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Sevilla vs Alaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 14 Feb 2026

Sevilla

DLWDL

Sat, 14 Feb 202618:30

1 : 1

Full time

Alaves

LLWWL

Pre-match win probability

43.5%Sevilla30.9%Draw25.5%Alaves

Our prediction

Draw · Sevilla

Sevilla vs Alaves listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence43.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sevilla 43.5%
  • Draw 30.9%
  • Alaves 25.5%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

SevillaAlaves

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.3% · 4.519.7% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X57.2%
X242.8%

Match result

Sevilla2.2
Draw3.1
Alaves3.75

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance57.2%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance42.8%
Odds1.67

Sevilla

Chance43.5%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance30.9%
Odds3.1

Alaves

Chance25.5%
Odds3.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.1

SevillaAlaves
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

Sevilla vs Alaves: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Sevilla meet Alaves in the Spain, La Liga on 14 February 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sevilla at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sevilla vs Alaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sevilla vs Alaves?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sevilla vs Alaves?

Sevilla is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sevilla vs Alaves prediction, H2H and stats