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Real Sociedad vs Alaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 11 Apr 2026

Real Sociedad

WLWLW

Sat, 11 Apr 202613:00

3 : 3

Full time

Alaves

DWDLL

Pre-match win probability

54.6%Real Sociedad25.5%Draw19.9%Alaves

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad vs Alaves listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence54.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Sociedad 54.6%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Alaves 19.9%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Real SociedadAlaves

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.4% · 3.217.5% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Real Sociedad1.73
Draw3.7
Alaves4.75

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

Real Sociedad

Chance54.6%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

Alaves

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

Real SociedadAlaves
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

Real Sociedad vs Alaves: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 11 Apr 2026

Real Sociedad meet Alaves in the Spain, La Liga on 11 April 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Sociedad at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Sociedad vs Alaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Sociedad vs Alaves?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 11 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Sociedad vs Alaves?

Real Sociedad is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Sociedad vs Alaves prediction, H2H and stats