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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 11 Apr 2026

Sevilla

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Sat, 11 Apr 202620:00

2 : 1

Full time

Atletico Madrid

WLLLW

Pre-match win probability

37.3%Sevilla29.7%Draw33%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Sevilla

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sevilla 37.3%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Atletico Madrid 33%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

SevillaAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

Sevilla2.55
Draw3.2
Atletico Madrid2.88

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

Sevilla

Chance37.3%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Atletico Madrid

Chance33%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.5

SevillaAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 11 Apr 2026

Sevilla meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 11 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sevilla at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 11 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?

Sevilla is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction, H2H and stats