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Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Premyer LiqaFri, 16 Oct 2026

Şamaxı FK

Fri, 16 Oct 202612:00

3 : 2

Full time

Safa Baku

Pre-match win probability

55.3%Şamaxı FK27.6%Draw17.1%Safa Baku

Our prediction

Şamaxı FK

Şamaxı FK is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.62
Confidence55.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Şamaxı FK 55.3%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Safa Baku 17.1%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · highlighted side is stronger

Şamaxı FKSafa Baku

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.3% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Şamaxı FK1.62
Draw3.25
Safa Baku5.25

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds1.95

Şamaxı FK

Chance55.3%
Odds1.62

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.25

Safa Baku

Chance17.1%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Şamaxı FK at 1.62

Şamaxı FKSafa Baku
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall76%24%

Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Fri, 16 Oct 2026

Şamaxı FK meet Safa Baku in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 16 October 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Şamaxı FK at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku FAQs

4 questions

What time is Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 16 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku?

Şamaxı FK is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku prediction, H2H and stats