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Sumqayıt vs Araz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Premyer LiqaFri, 16 Oct 2026

Sumqayıt

9th in table · 8 pts

DDWLW

Fri, 16 Oct 202616:00

2 : 1

Full time

Araz

12th in table · 2 pts

Pre-match win probability

40.9%Sumqayıt31%Draw28.1%Araz

Our prediction

Sumqayıt

Sumqayıt is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence40.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sumqayıt 40.9%
  • Draw 31%
  • Araz 28.1%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SumqayıtAraz
Goals scored (avg)
2.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.8–
Wins
20
Played
89

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sumqayıt2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 27 OctKür-Araz0 – 11SumqayıtW
  • 23 OctZira3 – 2SumqayıtL
  • 10 OctSumqayıt4 – 1QabalaW
  • 20 SeptKapaz1 – 1SumqayıtD
  • 12 SeptSumqayıt1 – 1Şamaxı FKD
Araz0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headSumqayıt 3W · 2D · Araz 4W · 1.8 goals a game
    • 9 MaySumqayıt2 – 1Araz
    • 15 FebAraz1 – 0Sumqayıt
    • 2 NovSumqayıt3 – 2Araz
    • 7 AprAraz2 – 0Sumqayıt
    • 1 FebSumqayıt0 – 0Araz
    • 10 NovAraz1 – 0Sumqayıt

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
    1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
    2.5 goals12.7% · 1.8512% · 1.95
    3.5 goals7.8% · 317.3% · 1.36

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7%
    No44.3%

    Double chance

    1X54.8%
    X245.2%

    Match result

    Sumqayıt2.2
    Draw2.9
    Araz3.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7% · 1.67
    No44.3% · 2.1

    1X

    Chance54.8%
    Odds1.28

    X2

    Chance45.2%
    Odds1.55

    Sumqayıt

    Chance40.9%
    Odds2.2

    Draw

    Chance31%
    Odds2.9

    Araz

    Chance28.1%
    Odds3.2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Sumqayıt at 2.2

    SumqayıtAraz
    Recent form89%11%
    Attack73%27%
    Defence55%45%
    Goals model73%27%
    Head-to-head44%56%
    Overall59%41%

    Trends

    Trend · Premyer Liqa

    Sumqayıt scored 2.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premyer Liqa

    Sumqayıt conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premyer Liqa

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Premyer Liqa

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Sumqayıt vs Araz: prediction & preview

    Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Fri, 16 Oct 2026

    Sumqayıt meet Araz in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 16 October 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sumqayıt at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Sumqayıt vs Araz FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Sumqayıt vs Araz?

    Kickoff is 16:00 on 16 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Sumqayıt vs Araz?

    Sumqayıt is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.