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Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaMon, 11 May 2026

Santa Clara

13th in table · 36 pts

WDWLL

Mon, 11 May 202620:15

2 : 0

Full time

Nacional

14th in table · 34 pts

LLLLW

Pre-match win probability

39.8%Santa Clara29.6%Draw30.6%Nacional

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Santa Clara

Santa Clara vs Nacional listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence39.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Santa Clara 39.8%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Nacional 30.6%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Santa ClaraNacional
Goals scored (avg)
1.51
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.9
Wins
99
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Santa Clara5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 26 OctSanta Clara1 – 2BenficaL
  • 18 OctMafra3 – 2Santa ClaraL
  • 10 OctCasa Pia0 – 1Santa ClaraW
  • 20 SeptSanta Clara0 – 0SC BragaD
  • 13 SeptArouca1 – 2Santa ClaraW
Nacional2W 1D 7L in last 10
  • 25 OctNacional1 – 0SC BragaW
  • 17 OctSanjoanense1 – 0NacionalL
  • 11 OctRio Ave3 – 2NacionalL
  • 19 SeptNacional0 – 4FamalicaoL
  • 12 SeptNacional1 – 3AlvercaL
H2H
Head to headSanta Clara 3W · 4D · Nacional 2W · 3 goals a game
  • 10 AugSanta Clara2 – 2Nacional
  • 11 JanNacional3 – 3Santa Clara
  • 30 MarSanta Clara1 – 0Nacional
  • 4 NovNacional2 – 0Santa Clara
  • 17 MarSanta Clara0 – 1Nacional
  • 11 JanSanta Clara1 – 1Nacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Santa Clara2.38
Draw3.2
Nacional3.1

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Santa Clara

Chance39.8%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Nacional

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.53

Santa ClaraNacional
Recent form72%28%
Attack60%40%
Defence66%34%
Goals model60%40%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall57%43%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Santa Clara scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Santa Clara conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Santa Clara vs Nacional: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 11 May 2026

Santa Clara meet Nacional in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 11 May 2026 at 20:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Santa Clara at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Santa Clara vs Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Santa Clara vs Nacional?

Kickoff is 20:15 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Santa Clara vs Nacional?

Santa Clara is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.