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São João Ver vs Fafe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sat, 21 Feb 2026

São João Ver

9th in table · 14 pts

Sat, 21 Feb 202616:00

1 : 0

Full time

Fafe

7th in table · 24 pts

LWDLD

Pre-match win probability

27.9%São João Ver27.5%Draw44.6%Fafe

Our prediction

Fafe

Fafe is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence44.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • São João Ver 27.9%
  • Draw 27.5%
  • Fafe 44.6%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · highlighted side is stronger

São João VerFafe
Goals scored (avg)
–1.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.7
Wins
26
Played
1818

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

São João Ver0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Fafe4W 4D 2L in last 10
    • 25 OctAD Marco 090 – 0FafeD
    • 18 OctFelgueiras 19321 – 0FafeL
    • 11 OctFafe2 – 2TrofenseD
    • 20 SeptFafe4 – 0LajenseW
    • 13 SeptParedes2 – 1FafeL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals44.7% · 2.155.3% · 1.7

    Double chance

    1X43.4%
    X256.6%

    Match result

    São João Ver3.2
    Draw3.25
    Fafe2

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance43.4%
    Odds1.67

    X2

    Chance56.6%
    Odds1.28

    São João Ver

    Chance27.9%
    Odds3.2

    Draw

    Chance27.5%
    Odds3.25

    Fafe

    Chance44.6%
    Odds2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Fafe at 2

    São João VerFafe
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack40%60%
    Defence30%70%
    Goals model40%60%
    Overall38%62%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga 3

    Fafe scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Fafe conceded 0.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

    São João Ver vs Fafe: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Liga 3 · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

    São João Ver meet Fafe in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fafe at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    São João Ver vs Fafe FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is São João Ver vs Fafe?

    Kickoff is 16:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on São João Ver vs Fafe?

    Fafe is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.