Get Premium

Varzim vs Trofense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Varzim

4th in table · 28 pts

LLLLL

Sat, 21 Feb 202618:30

2 : 0

Full time

Trofense

3rd in table · 28 pts

LDLDL

Pre-match win probability

44.6%Varzim27.5%Draw27.9%Trofense

Our prediction

Home · Varzim

Varzim vs Trofense listed tip from the board.

Odds2
Confidence44.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Varzim 44.6%
  • Draw 27.5%
  • Trofense 27.9%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VarzimTrofense
Goals scored (avg)
1.80.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.42.2
Wins
77
Played
1818

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Varzim5W 0D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctVarzim2 – 4Guimaraes BL
  • 11 OctSão João Ver2 – 1VarzimL
  • 19 SeptVitória de Sernache2 – 1VarzimL
  • 12 SeptVarzim1 – 2VianenseL
  • 5 SeptVarzim0 – 1ParedesL
Trofense1W 3D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctParedes4 – 0TrofenseL
  • 11 OctFafe2 – 2TrofenseD
  • 12 SeptTrofense1 – 4LeçaL
  • 5 SeptGuimaraes B0 – 0TrofenseD
  • 29 AugVarzim5 – 1TrofenseL
H2H
Head to headVarzim 4W · 0D · Trofense 5W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 29 AugVarzim5 – 1Trofense
  • 9 AugTrofense0 – 1Varzim
  • 18 AprTrofense0 – 1Varzim
  • 20 DecVarzim0 – 1Trofense
  • 11 OctTrofense2 – 1Varzim
  • 30 AugTrofense5 – 1Varzim

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals42.9% · 2.257.1% · 1.65

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Varzim2
Draw3.25
Trofense3.2

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Varzim

Chance44.6%
Odds2

Draw

Chance27.5%
Odds3.25

Trofense

Chance27.9%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2

VarzimTrofense
Recent form71%29%
Attack75%25%
Defence67%33%
Goals model75%25%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall62%38%

Trends

Trend · Liga 3

Varzim scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Varzim conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Varzim vs Trofense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Liga 3 · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Varzim meet Trofense in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 21 February 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Varzim at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Varzim vs Trofense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Varzim vs Trofense?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Varzim vs Trofense?

Varzim is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.