Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 22 Mar 2026

Sao Paulo

LWWLW

Sun, 22 Mar 202601:00

0 : 1

Full time

Palmeiras

WWLWW

Pre-match win probability

36%Sao Paulo31.5%Draw32.5%Palmeiras

Our prediction

Away · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras listed tip from the board.

Odds2.9
Confidence36%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 36%
  • Draw 31.5%
  • Palmeiras 32.5%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloPalmeiras

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.4% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Sao Paulo2.62
Draw3
Palmeiras2.9

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.4

Sao Paulo

Chance36%
Odds2.62

Draw

Chance31.5%
Odds3

Palmeiras

Chance32.5%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.9

Sao PauloPalmeiras
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 22 Mar 2026

Sao Paulo meet Palmeiras in the Brazil, Serie A on 22 March 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 2.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 22 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras?

Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 36%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras prediction, H2H and stats