Sassuolo vs Lecce Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 17 May 2026

Sassuolo

LWDWL

Sun, 17 May 202619:45

2 : 3

Full time

Lecce

LWDDL

Pre-match win probability

35.2%Sassuolo29.7%Draw35.2%Lecce

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Sassuolo

Sassuolo vs Lecce listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence35.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sassuolo 35.2%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Lecce 35.2%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

SassuoloLecce

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X50.7%
X249.3%

Match result

Sassuolo2.7
Draw3.2
Lecce2.7

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

Sassuolo

Chance35.2%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Lecce

Chance35.2%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.4

SassuoloLecce
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

Sassuolo vs Lecce: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 17 May 2026

Sassuolo meet Lecce in the Italy, Serie A on 17 May 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sassuolo at 2.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sassuolo vs Lecce FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sassuolo vs Lecce?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sassuolo vs Lecce?

Sassuolo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sassuolo vs Lecce prediction, H2H and stats