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Sport Recife vs São Bernardo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie BTue, 6 Oct 2026

Sport Recife

7th in table · 54 pts

WLWLW

Tue, 6 Oct 202623:30

1 : 1

Live

São Bernardo

11th in table · 49 pts

DWDLW

Pre-match win probability

53.3%Sport Recife25.9%Draw20.7%São Bernardo

Our prediction

Draw · Sport Recife

Sport Recife vs São Bernardo listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence53.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sport Recife 53.3%
  • Draw 25.9%
  • São Bernardo 20.7%

Season statistics

Serie B · highlighted side is stronger

Sport RecifeSão Bernardo
Goals scored (avg)
–1.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.9
Wins
1413
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sport Recife0W 0D 0L in last 0
    São Bernardo5W 2D 2L in last 9
    • 24 OctSão Bernardo3 – 2Vila NovaW
    • 18 OctSão Bernardo0 – 1CriciumaL
    • 11 OctJuventude2 – 2São BernardoD
    • 2 OctSão Bernardo3 – 1CRBW
    • 25 SeptNovorizontino0 – 0São BernardoD
    H2H
    Head to headSport Recife 0W · 1D · São Bernardo 0W · 0 goals a game
    • 14 JunSão Bernardo0 – 0Sport Recife

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
    2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
    3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X62.9%
    X237.1%

    Match result

    Sport Recife1.75
    Draw3.6
    São Bernardo4.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.83
    No50% · 1.83

    1X

    Chance62.9%
    Odds1.18

    X2

    Chance37.1%
    Odds2

    Sport Recife

    Chance53.3%
    Odds1.75

    Draw

    Chance25.9%
    Odds3.6

    São Bernardo

    Chance20.7%
    Odds4.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Draw at 3.6

    Sport RecifeSão Bernardo
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack38%62%
    Defence32%68%
    Goals model38%62%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall72%28%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie B

    São Bernardo scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie B

    São Bernardo conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie B

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Serie B

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Sport Recife vs São Bernardo: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Serie B · Tue, 6 Oct 2026

    Sport Recife meet São Bernardo in the Brazil, Serie B on 6 October 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sport Recife at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Sport Recife vs São Bernardo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?

    Kickoff is 23:30 on 6 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?

    Sport Recife is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.