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Sweden vs Romania Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueFri, 25 Sept 2026

Sweden

1st in table · 10 pts

DLWDW

Fri, 25 Sept 202619:45

2 : 1

Full time

Romania

4th in table · 0 pts

DWLLL

Pre-match win probability

65.2%Sweden19.8%Draw15%Romania

Our prediction

BTTS Yes · Sweden

Sweden vs Romania listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence65.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sweden 65.2%
  • Draw 19.8%
  • Romania 15%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SwedenRomania
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.92.2
Wins
30
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sweden3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 5 OctRomania0 – 1SwedenW
  • 2 OctBosnia & Herzegovina1 – 1SwedenD
  • 28 SeptSweden3 – 1PolandW
  • 30 JunFrance3 – 0SwedenL
  • 26 JunJapan1 – 1SwedenD
Romania2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 5 OctRomania0 – 1SwedenL
  • 2 OctPoland6 – 0RomaniaL
  • 28 SeptRomania2 – 4Bosnia & HerzegovinaL
  • 6 JunRomania2 – 1WalesW
  • 2 JunGeorgia1 – 1RomaniaD
H2H
Head to headSweden 3W · 0D · Romania 1W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 5 OctRomania0 – 1Sweden
  • 15 NovRomania0 – 2Sweden
  • 23 MarSweden2 – 1Romania
  • 27 MarRomania1 – 0Sweden

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X70.1%
X229.9%

Match result

Sweden1.44
Draw4.75
Romania6.25

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance70.1%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance29.9%
Odds2.62

Sweden

Chance65.2%
Odds1.44

Draw

Chance19.8%
Odds4.75

Romania

Chance15%
Odds6.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: BTTS Yes at 1.44

SwedenRomania
Recent form63%37%
Attack55%45%
Defence58%42%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall81%19%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Sweden scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Sweden conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Sweden vs Romania: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Fri, 25 Sept 2026

Sweden meet Romania in the World, UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sweden at 1.44. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sweden vs Romania FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sweden vs Romania?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 25 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sweden vs Romania?

Sweden is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.44. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.