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Swindon Town vs Newport County Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League TwoWed, 11 Feb 2026

Swindon Town

9th in table · 75 pts

LLDWD

Wed, 11 Feb 202621:00

2 : 0

Full time

Newport County

20th in table · 43 pts

DWDDL

Pre-match win probability

61.9%Swindon Town23.2%Draw14.9%Newport County

Our prediction

Home · Swindon Town

Swindon Town vs Newport County listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence61.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Swindon Town 61.9%
  • Draw 23.2%
  • Newport County 14.9%

Season statistics

League Two · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Swindon TownNewport County
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.40.8
Wins
2212
Played
4646

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Swindon Town1W 3D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctBristol Rovers0 – 0Swindon TownD
  • 20 OctBarnet1 – 3Swindon TownW
  • 17 OctSwindon Town1 – 1WalsallD
  • 10 OctSwindon Town0 – 1CreweL
  • 3 OctRochdale1 – 0Swindon TownL
Newport County3W 6D 1L in last 10
  • 24 OctCheltenham1 – 0Newport CountyL
  • 20 OctRotherham2 – 2Newport CountyD
  • 17 OctNewport County1 – 1YorkD
  • 10 OctNewport County1 – 0ColchesterW
  • 6 OctNewport County2 – 2PlymouthD
H2H
Head to headSwindon Town 5W · 0D · Newport County 4W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 22 SeptSwindon Town0 – 2Newport County
  • 4 OctNewport County0 – 1Swindon Town
  • 24 JanNewport County1 – 2Swindon Town
  • 14 SeptSwindon Town4 – 0Newport County
  • 3 FebNewport County2 – 1Swindon Town
  • 14 OctSwindon Town2 – 0Newport County

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.9% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X68%
X232%

Match result

Swindon Town1.5
Draw4
Newport County6.25

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance68%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance32%
Odds2.38

Swindon Town

Chance61.9%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance23.2%
Odds4

Newport County

Chance14.9%
Odds6.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.5

Swindon TownNewport County
Recent form29%71%
Attack35%65%
Defence42%58%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall81%19%

Trends

Trend · League Two

Swindon Town scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · League Two

Swindon Town conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · League Two

Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

Trend · League Two

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Swindon Town vs Newport County: prediction & preview

England · League Two · Wed, 11 Feb 2026

Swindon Town meet Newport County in the England, League Two on 11 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Swindon Town at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Swindon Town vs Newport County FAQs

4 questions

What time is Swindon Town vs Newport County?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 11 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Swindon Town vs Newport County?

Swindon Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.