Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Tondela

Mon, 11 May 202620:15

2 : 0

Full time

Moreirense

Pre-match win probability

49.2%Tondela27.5%Draw23.4%Moreirense

Our prediction

Tondela

Tondela is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.9
Confidence49.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tondela 49.2%
  • Draw 27.5%
  • Moreirense 23.4%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

TondelaMoreirense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Tondela1.9
Draw3.4
Moreirense4

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Tondela

Chance49.2%
Odds1.9

Draw

Chance27.5%
Odds3.4

Moreirense

Chance23.4%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tondela at 1.9

TondelaMoreirense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Tondela vs Moreirense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 11 May 2026

Tondela meet Moreirense in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 11 May 2026 at 20:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tondela at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tondela vs Moreirense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tondela vs Moreirense?

Kickoff is 20:15 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tondela vs Moreirense?

Tondela is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Tondela vs Moreirense prediction, H2H and stats