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Torreense vs União de Leiria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalSun, 11 Jan 2026

Torreense

Sun, 11 Jan 202621:15

3 : 1

Full time

União de Leiria

Pre-match win probability

45.9%Torreense29.9%Draw24.2%União de Leiria

Our prediction

Torreense

Torreense is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence45.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Torreense 45.9%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • União de Leiria 24.2%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

TorreenseUnião de Leiria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.5% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X58.1%
X241.9%

Match result

Torreense1.95
Draw3
União de Leiria3.7

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance58.1%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41.9%
Odds1.73

Torreense

Chance45.9%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3

União de Leiria

Chance24.2%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Torreense at 1.95

TorreenseUnião de Leiria
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Torreense vs União de Leiria: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Torreense meet União de Leiria in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 11 January 2026 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Torreense at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Torreense vs União de Leiria FAQs

4 questions

What time is Torreense vs União de Leiria?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Torreense vs União de Leiria?

Torreense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Torreense vs União de Leiria prediction, H2H and stats