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Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 10 May 2026

Toulouse

WDLLL

Sun, 10 May 202620:00

2 : 1

Full time

Lyon

WWWWD

Pre-match win probability

23.7%Toulouse23.7%Draw52.6%Lyon

Our prediction

Away · Toulouse

Toulouse vs Lyon listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence52.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toulouse 23.7%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Lyon 52.6%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

ToulouseLyon

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X38.5%
X261.5%

Match result

Toulouse4
Draw4
Lyon1.8

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance38.5%
Odds1.95

X2

Chance61.5%
Odds1.22

Toulouse

Chance23.7%
Odds4

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds4

Lyon

Chance52.6%
Odds1.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.8

ToulouseLyon
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall31%69%

Toulouse vs Lyon: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 10 May 2026

Toulouse meet Lyon in the France, Ligue 1 on 10 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lyon at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toulouse vs Lyon FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toulouse vs Lyon?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 10 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toulouse vs Lyon?

Lyon is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toulouse vs Lyon prediction, H2H and stats