Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Union St. Gilloise

Tue, 9 Dec 202521:00

2 : 3

Full time

Marseille

Pre-match win probability

31.6%Union St. Gilloise27.1%Draw41.3%Marseille

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds2.3
Confidence41.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Union St. Gilloise 31.6%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Marseille 41.3%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

Union St. GilloiseMarseille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Union St. Gilloise3
Draw3.5
Marseille2.3

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

Union St. Gilloise

Chance31.6%
Odds3

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Marseille

Chance41.3%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 2.3

Union St. GilloiseMarseille
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall43%57%

Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 9 Dec 2025

Union St. Gilloise meet Marseille in the World, UEFA Champions League on 9 December 2025 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 9 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille?

Marseille is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille prediction, H2H and stats