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Valenciennes vs Chateauroux Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 3Fri, 15 May 2026

Valenciennes

LDLLW

Fri, 15 May 202618:30

2 : 2

Full time

Chateauroux

WWLLL

Pre-match win probability

23.5%Valenciennes24.8%Draw51.7%Chateauroux

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Valenciennes

Valenciennes vs Chateauroux listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence51.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Valenciennes 23.5%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Chateauroux 51.7%

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · highlighted side is stronger

ValenciennesChateauroux

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.7% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X37.7%
X262.3%

Match result

Valenciennes3.8
Draw3.6
Chateauroux1.73

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance37.7%
Odds1.95

X2

Chance62.3%
Odds1.18

Valenciennes

Chance23.5%
Odds3.8

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.6

Chateauroux

Chance51.7%
Odds1.73

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.95

ValenciennesChateauroux
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall31%69%

Valenciennes vs Chateauroux: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 3 · Fri, 15 May 2026

Valenciennes meet Chateauroux in the France, Ligue 3 on 15 May 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chateauroux at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Valenciennes vs Chateauroux FAQs

4 questions

What time is Valenciennes vs Chateauroux?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 15 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Valenciennes vs Chateauroux?

Chateauroux is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Valenciennes vs Chateauroux prediction, H2H and stats