Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AMon, 11 May 2026

Vasco DA Gama

WDWLW

Mon, 11 May 202600:30

1 : 0

Full time

Atletico Paranaense

DWDLW

Pre-match win probability

49.9%Vasco DA Gama27.6%Draw22.5%Atletico Paranaense

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence49.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vasco DA Gama 49.9%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Atletico Paranaense 22.5%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X60.4%
X239.6%

Match result

Vasco DA Gama1.8
Draw3.25
Atletico Paranaense4

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance60.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance39.6%
Odds1.83

Vasco DA Gama

Chance49.9%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.25

Atletico Paranaense

Chance22.5%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.2

Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall69%31%

Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Mon, 11 May 2026

Vasco DA Gama meet Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil, Serie A on 11 May 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vasco DA Gama at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense?

Vasco DA Gama is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.