Vila Nova vs Athletic Club Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie BMon, 4 May 2026

Vila Nova

WDWDW

Mon, 4 May 202623:00

1 : 0

Live

Athletic Club

LLLWD

Pre-match win probability

51%Vila Nova28.3%Draw20.7%Athletic Club

Our prediction

Home · Vila Nova

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club listed tip from the board.

Odds1.83
Confidence51%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vila Nova 51%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Athletic Club 20.7%

Season statistics

Serie B · highlighted side is stronger

Vila NovaAthletic Club

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X62.9%
X237.1%

Match result

Vila Nova1.83
Draw3.3
Athletic Club4.5

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance62.9%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance37.1%
Odds2

Vila Nova

Chance51%
Odds1.83

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.3

Athletic Club

Chance20.7%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.83

Vila NovaAthletic Club
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie B · Mon, 4 May 2026

Vila Nova meet Athletic Club in the Brazil, Serie B on 4 May 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vila Nova at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club FAQs

4 questions

What time is Vila Nova vs Athletic Club?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 4 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Vila Nova vs Athletic Club?

Vila Nova is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 51%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club prediction, H2H and stats